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Brazil: Canaries have all the ingredients to win

13 June 2018
The Brazilian team is always among the favourites to win the World Cup. This time, manager Tite is flying to Russia with a squad that’s heavily stacked with key players from Europe’s top clubs. Can Neymar make Russia 2018 the newest successful chapter in Brazil’s rich football history?
Brazil

Chances of winning

Using our unique simulation tool, Remiqz is able to predict the course of the FIFA World Cup. According to our calculations, there is a 17.4% chance that Brazil will win the tournament this summer, this makes them the second most likely team to win the World Cup. It would be the sixth (!) World Cup for the Seleção.

Brazil were drawn in Group E with Switzerland, Serbia and Costa Rica; perhaps the strongest group in the group phase. Serbia and Switzerland are their toughest opponents. Both countries have in common that there is a clear, established way of playing and both teams have a sound mix of talent and experience. Costa Rica are experienced, or to put it blunt: old.

According to Remiqz’ calculations, there is a 95% chance of reaching the last 16 for Brazil. If the Seleção don’t get nine points from this group, there is a possibility that they will have to face Germany in the round of 16.

Selection

His squad is fantastic; their starting eleven for the opening game against Switzerland will probably consist of players from AS Roma, Manchester City, Inter Milan, PSG, Real Madrid, FC Barcelona and Chelsea. When you are at a club that’s not in the European top level, you’re not in the starting line-up, Brazilian Fágner who plays for Corinthians might be the exception. Brazil’s star player is of course PSG’s Neymar (EPI: 4912).

Style of play

When you think of Brazil, automatically flair players like Vavá, Garrincha, Sócrates, Tostão, Ronaldinho and Neymar come to mind. Very attacking sides filled with technicians who are constantly providing mind-boggling trickery.

This is perception. In reality, since 1994, Brazil’s World Cup teams have relied on a solid defensive organisation and didn’t play very attacking football. The World Cup winning team of 1994 for instance was considered a dull side by Brazilian football fans and Mário Zagallo’s 1998 team reached the final by leaning on a very steady midfield spine of Carlos Dunga and Cesar Sampaio.

Back to 2018; Tite is continuing this recent episode of Brazils football history. He took over after a very chaotic start of CONMEBOL’s World Cup qualification and has been in charge since June 2016. When he was named head coach, the first thing he focused on was providing a steady defensive organisation and lessening Brazil’s vulnerability for counter attacks.

When in possession, this team focuses on wing-play more than building through the middle of the field. The left side can be unbelievably stacked if Tite chooses to field Marcelo, Coutinho and Neymar on one side. Neymar of course has licence to roam wherever he wants, but still will start from the left on most of the attacks.

This is one of the most solid teams present at the World Cup in every aspect of the game. Brazil can make the play, counter attack, defend deep and prevent counter attacks. They have a star player in Neymar who is well rested and thus should be seen as favourites to win the World Cup in Russia.

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(Images by Pro Shots)